Donald Trump was elected the next president of the United States, and some financial experts believe that the President-elect could be good for the housing and mortgage industry.
One of the areas of real estate that could see more activity is in home equity loans. A home equity loan is a form of second mortgage on one’s house.
In the past, home equity programs would rolled out by banks when interest rates switched direction, because homeowners always need access to cash, but sometimes they don’t want to refinance their current mortgage because they already have an interest rate below the market-level.
The home equity loan allows you to tap your equity in the property so that you can fund some type of purchase, including:
- Paying for a college education
- Renovating the home
- Investing in real estate
- Paying off high interest debt
- Capital to start a new business
Some people think that we could see more people taking out a home equity loan in the coming years under a Trump administration. Here are the big reasons why:
#1 Consumer Confidence is High
In November 2016 after the election, the consumer confidence index soared to levels not seen in more than eight years. The reason for this could be that people were feeling more optimistic with Trump becoming president, or they just feel more hope because the presidential race was finally decided.
Black Friday in November 2016 also was a record, with more than $3 billion spent online alone. This is another sign that people are feeling more confident, which could soon be reflected in more home loans. The unemployment rate also is under 5% and many consumers may feel they will be able to make more money in the coming months and years.
If the labor participation rate rebounds and the home-ownership rate for Millennials rises, then we anticipate home equity exploding. When people feel more confidence in the future, they are more likely to buy things.
They also are more likely to take out equity loans. People taking out home equity loans and the masses suggest that people are feeling confident enough about their finances to take on more debt on their own residence.
It remains to be seen if the high consumer confidence index will last, but so far, people seem to be looking to the future under a Trump administration with more optimism. It will be interesting to see what the credit standards and home equity loan requirements are in the next few years as the mortgage industry rebounds.
#2 Home Equity Loan Rates Are Low
While it is possible that rates could go up in December 2016, home equity loan rates are still near record lows. As people are feeling more confident in the future under a Trump administration, we think that they will be more likely to buy things on credit. Rather than putting expenses on a high interest credit card, some people will likely decide to buy things with the very low interest equity loan secured by their home in the form of a second mortgage.
- Lump-Sum Loans with Fixed Home Equity Rates
- Open-Ended Credit Lines with Adjustable HELOC Rates
- Rehab and Permanent Construction Loans
As long as interest rates on equity loans stay under 5%, we think it is likely that increased economic activity could lead to more people buying goods and services with rising equity. Most industry experts believe that home equity loan rates will remain on the low side when looking at a graph over a 10-year period.
#3 Trump Is Promising Tax Cuts for Middle Class Americans
A tax cut bill will have to wind its way through Congress. But if there ends up being a substantial tax cut for the middle class, this will put more money in people’s pockets. When people have more of their own money, they will spend more.
We also believe that this potential tax cut could give people the money that they need to pay for closing costs for their home equity loan or HELOC. Tax cuts usually result in higher economic activity, and this usually applies to home buying and taking out mortgages.
#4 Housing Market Could Take Off
The stock market definitely surged in late 2016, with the Dow going over 19,000 for the first time in history. We believe that this portends a jump in the housing sector, and prices of homes could see a jump in the next two or three years. If that pans out, homeowners will want to take advantage of the increasing market to sell their home.
Before people sell their home, they often fix it up by leveraging the equity they have in their property. With a home equity loan, homeowners have the chance to increase the value of their property by doing renovations.
Increasing home prices will cause a surge in equity, and this would definitely would make people take out home equity loans. Many homeowners will borrow $25,000 or more to make major renovations to their home. By fixing up the kitchen and bathroom, for instance, they will be able to sell their home for a higher price than before.
One of the most popular reasons that homeowners get home equity mortgages is to make home improvements, which result in more money in your pocket when you sell.
Appreciating house values would help people with credit issues, because they would have more equity, a lower Loan to Value and a stronger likelihood of getting approved for a home equity loan with bad credit. We continue to hear whispers of more subprime lenders returning, so hopefully this will mean more poor credit equity loan programs on the horizon.
A new presidential administration is often a time of greater economic optimism, and many people believe that Trump’s business and real estate experience could result in much stronger economic activity in the next four or more years.
If Trump turns out being able to get America into 4-5% economic growth again, this will cause people to be looking for the best home equity loans in an effort to enjoy the higher value of their houses.